Grafana looks to be intermittently displaying misleading data as a result of Prometheus serving old metric data by default, in the absence of new data.
This bug is visible within the grafana dash "donations queued to civicrm", which is displaying PayPal donation messages for new data points which there have actually been no paypal donations.
To observe yourself:
Jump on to civi1001, and in your terminal run watch -n1 cat /var/spool/prometheus/donations.prom while watching in another window https://grafana.wikimedia.org/dashboard/db/fundraising-overview?orgId=1&from=now-15m&to=now&panelId=15&fullscreen&refresh=1m and compare the two sources