Per the jQuery 4.0.0 Beta release blog post, there are a some breaking changes planned, which we'll need check if they affect us before we switch.
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There will also be a migrate plugin, which we can use to emit deprecation warnings. That'll help "prove" our hypothesis in the wild (for a few weeks at least) even in the optimistic case where we think we might not need the migrate plugin for long.
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FYI, jQuery 4.0.0 has been released today: https://blog.jquery.com/2026/01/17/jquery-4-0-0/.