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Estimate Automoderator's activity based on latest revertrisk data (2024)
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Description

Since deployment, Automoderator's activity has been lower than projected in T351057: Automoderator revert per day at different caution levels: top 150 Wikipedias

Re-estimate the activity based on latest revert risk data and for edits of first six months of 2024.

Event Timeline

I re-estimated the activity levels based on scores for first four months of 2024. The averages have changed slightly, but an important addition is the mode (most frequent), which is what we should expect to see on most days, and then some spikes.

For Turkish WikipediaAt 0.99 level, the average is 3 edits per day, however, the mode of the data is 1, which is on most days we should expect to see only 1 revert being made by Automoderator, and the distribution shows that on most days it will be 1-2 edits.

For now, I have plotted the distributions for Turkish, Indonesian and Chinese Wikipedias. I can plot more as needed before deployments.