Taken from Slack here:
Gravy recurring donations set up last month in Japan have failed to process their second June installment. Upon receiving their auto-Civi recurring fail email over the weekend, donors in Japan are baffled as to why their second installment failed. I did some digging with Civi search parameters and have discovered it is widespread. Common denominators are: Japan transactions, Recurring set up last month, Recurring by credit cards (all cards, Visa, Mastercard, Diners, AMEX, Apple Pay, Google Pay), Recurring set up via Gravy. All are now in a cancelled recurring state in Civi with the '(auto) maximum failures reached' reason of 3 attempts. Affected date range appears to be recurrings set up between May 7th and May 13th (JP Email 1). Peter then pushes everything to Adyen from Japan evening 13th. Examples: cid=67750842 | cid=6670046 | cid=51475782 | cid=6684244 | cid=34690570 | cid=67764419.
Some questions: If all JP cards still direct to Adyen, is it safe to invite these donors to set up a new recurring donation today with an apology? (fault needs to be admitted here so the donors don't waste their time troubleshooting on the phone with their banks like some have mentioned they are doing already). Can affected cids be isolated for number affected and revenue impact? (filtering out the Gravy annual recurring, of course). Was this the expected 2nd installment behaviour for all successful JP recurring donations set up last month made via Gravy?
Confirmation that this is Gravy-specific because ... Adyen recurring transactions set up last month are processing their second June installment successfully: cid=51556919 May 7th setup | June 7th success as are the PayPal ones: cid=5078744 May 11th setup | June 11th success.