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[Analytics] [Request] Extrapolation of Wikidata's growth (Collab KR 25-26)
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Description

Wikidata Analytics Request

This task was generated using the Wikidata Analytics request form. Please use the task templates linked on our project page to create tasks for the team. Thank you!

Purpose

We have a collab KR that reads as follows:

"By the end of 2026 (sic), WMDE has shared with the WMF the estimations of the appropriate rate of Wikidata growth in the long-term perspective (until 2030)"

We've collected a list of metrics that feed into this here and expect extrapolations for each of them.

Desired Outputs

The desired outputs of this task are listed as check boxes and confirmed as being finished below.

Deadline

Please make the time sensitivity of this request clear with a date that it should be completed by. If there is no specific date, then the task will be triaged based on its priority.

10.11.2025


Information below this point is filled out by the task assignee.

Assignee Planning

Sub Tasks

A full breakdown of the steps to complete this task.

  • Get data for all extrapolations
  • Compute extrapolations based on means as well as lines of best fit for 1 and 2 degrees (if applicable)
  • Derive extrapolations
  • Write discussions for numbers derived

Estimation

Estimate: 2d
Actual: 1.5d

Data

The tables that will be referenced in this task and the samples from them that will be used.

  • Data sources are found in the linked Google doc in the task description

Notes

Things that came up during the completion of this task, questions to be answered and follow up tasks.

  • Note

Event Timeline

@AndrewTavis_WMDE do we think it's still possible to get this done by Monday morning?

please review and close if all is good :)