As part of Article Guidance (T396029) first intervention, we plan to help junior editors when they try to create an article. The intervention is an experiment we want to support using A/B testing.
This ticket covers the experiment plan and preparations. Based on the proposed workflow (T414409) and the metrics defined (T414503), we will design the experiment and complete all preparations so it is ready to launch as soon as the feature is ready. The goal is to prepare the experiment in advance of the product implementation to avoid unnecessary delays.
Hypothesis
If we prepare an A/B test experiment, including how to expose the new feature (entry points) and how to measure the impact (metrics), we'll be ready to start learning about the impact of Article Guidance on the survival rate of articles created by junior editors on mobile.
Decision to be made
Are all of the following true before we start the experiment?
- The guided article creation flow is instrumented and the instrumentation has been QA'd
- The experiment is configured in Test Kitchen and has passed security review
- The outlines have been reviewed and approved by pilot wiki communities
- The entry points are defined and technically implemented
- The measurement plan has been signed off by all stakeholders
- Sample size and statistical power have been calculated
- The edit tag for tracking articles created via the intervention is implemented
- The workflow is localised into all pilot wiki languages
Deployment timing
| Milestone | Target date | Ticket | Responsible | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPERIMENT PLANNING | |||||
| Measurement plan drafted and signed off | Mar 2026 (W.11) | T414503 | @GGalofre-WMF | IN PROGRESS | Drafted and shared with @JVanderhoop-WMF and @MNeisler |
| Entry point analysis complete | W.14 | T416686 | @MNeisler | IN PROGRESS | Delivering W.14 |
| Sample size and power calculation complete | W.14 | T414536 | @MNeisler | IN PROGRESS | Running W.14. Feeds into measurement plan sign-off |
| INSTRUMENTATION & TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION | |||||
| Feature implementation complete | W.13 | T414409 | @SBisson / @eamedina | To review with Pau in Week 12 | |
| Instrumentation spec complete and QA'd | W.12 | T417046 | @MNeisler | On critical path, needs to start this week. See Experimentation Checklist - Instrumentation section | |
| Security review complete | W.13 | T418724 | @Nikerabbit | See Experimentation Checklist - Instrumentation section | |
| Edit tag implemented | ✅ | T418155 | @SBisson / @eamedina | DONE | |
| Feature flag, variation assignment and data collection implemented | W.13 | T410569 | @SBisson / @eamedina | ⚠️ At risk - detailed specs needed urgently for this to be achievable in W.13. See Experimentation Checklist - Technical Implementation section | |
| Experiment config and schema | W.14 | TBD | @SBisson | IN PROGRESS | New task to be created |
| Deploy on test wiki | W.14 | T417200 | @SBisson / @eamedina | Needs feature implementation and instrumentation QA done first. See Experimentation Checklist - Technical Implementation section | |
| COMMUNITY | |||||
| Outlines v1 defined | ✅ | T417249 | @Pginer-WMF / @GGalofre-WMF | DONE | |
| Wikidata labels checked for pilot wiki topics | W.12 | T416986 | @Pginer-WMF / @GGalofre-WMF | Runs in parallel with outlines | |
| Workflow localised into all pilot wiki languages | W.14 | @Pginer-WMF / @GGalofre-WMF | IN PROGRESS | Includes UI translation in TWN. Needed before patch demo so communities can edit outlines in their language | |
| Patch demo tested by pilot communities (English) | W.14–W.16 | T414448 | @UOzurumba | IN PROGRESS | Communication drafted W.14. Communities test workflow in patch demo in English and provide feedback. Feedback deadline: April 15 (W.16) |
| Outlines translated by pilot communities | W.16–W.18 | @UOzurumba | IN PROGRESS | After English patch demo feedback closes. Communities translate outlines into their languages. Must be complete before experiment launch. ~15 days | |
| EXPERIMENTATION SETUP & PRE-LAUNCH | |||||
| Experiment configured in Test Kitchen | W.14 | T414536 | @GGalofre-WMF | See Experimentation Checklist - Experimentation Setup section | |
| Monitoring dashboard set up in Superset | W.14 | T414536 | @MNeisler | See Experimentation Checklist - Experimentation Setup section | |
| Small-scale test and rollback plan complete | W.15 | T410569 | @SBisson | Needs deploy on test wiki done first. See Experimentation Checklist - Pre-Launch Verification section | |
| Final review with all stakeholders complete | W.15 | T414536 | @Pginer-WMF / @GGalofre-WMF | Full review of current state and remaining decisions. See Experimentation Checklist - Pre-Launch Verification section | |
| Final sign-off obtained (SRE, Data Products) | W.15 | @Pginer-WMF / @GGalofre-WMF | See Experimentation Checklist - Launch section | ||
| Ready to start experiment | W.18 | T396029 | @Pginer-WMF / @GGalofre-WMF | Dependent on outline translation by pilot communities completing by end of W.18 | |
Critical path
Two parallel tracks converge at deploy on test wiki:
Track 1 - Instrumentation:
Instrumentation spec (W.12) -> Security review (W.13) -> Instrumentation implementation and QA (W.13) -> Deploy on test wiki (W.14)
Track 2 - Feature code (already in progress):
Feature implementation (W.13) -> Experiment config and schema (W.14) -> Deploy on test wiki (W.14)
From W.14 onwards:
Deploy on test wiki (W.14) -> Small-scale test (W.15) -> Final review and sign-off (W.15) -> Community outline translation (W.16–W.18) -> Launch (W.18)
⚠️ Note: the critical path now runs through community outline translation, which cannot begin until the English patch demo feedback window closes on April 15 (W.16) and then requires approximately 15 days for communities to translate outlines. Any delay in the patch demo feedback cycle or translation will push the launch date beyond W.18. The full team review scheduled for W.15 will be a key checkpoint to assess whether the launch date is still achievable.
Dependencies
| Milestone | Depends on |
|---|---|
| Security review | Instrumentation spec complete |
| Instrumentation implementation and QA | Instrumentation spec complete, security review complete |
| Deploy on test wiki | Feature implementation complete, instrumentation QA complete |
| Patch demo tested by pilot communities (English) | Outlines v1 defined, Wikidata labels checked, workflow localised |
| Outlines translated by pilot communities | English patch demo feedback complete (deadline April 15 / W.16) |
| Experiment configured in Test Kitchen | Entry point analysis complete, sample size calculation complete |
| Monitoring dashboard set up in Superset | Experiment configured in Test Kitchen |
| Small-scale test and rollback plan complete | Deploy on test wiki |
| Final review with all stakeholders complete | Small-scale test complete, patch demo complete, monitoring dashboard set up |
| Final sign-off obtained | Final review complete |
| Ready to start experiment | Final sign-off obtained, outline translation complete |
Quit criteria
We would consider stopping work on guided article creation entirely if the Q4 experiment shows both of the following:
- No statistically significant improvement in 30-day survival rate in the treatment group compared to the control group, across all pilot wikis
- A meaningful increase in abandonment rate, indicating the workflow is acting as a barrier rather than an enabler
If only one of these is true, we iterate rather than stop. If both are true, the evidence suggests the approach is neither helping editors succeed nor encouraging them to try, and we would reassess the direction entirely.
Q4 Experiment Decision Matrix
| Scenario | Indicators | Action |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Survival rate improves significantly AND abandonment rate stays the same or decreases AND total surviving articles stays the same or increases | Scale. Roll out to additional wikis. Proceed with OW1.4 scaling plan. Consider expanding entry points and testing in-VE guidance. |
| 2 | Survival rate improves significantly BUT abandonment rate increases meaningfully | Iterate before scaling. The guidance is helping article quality but creating friction. Identify and remove funnel steps causing drop-off before wider rollout. |
| 3 | Survival rate improves significantly BUT total surviving articles decreases | Iterate before scaling. The guidance is helping quality but acting as a barrier to creation. Reduce friction in the workflow before wider rollout. |
| 4 | Survival rate improves significantly on some pilot wikis but not others | Iterate before scaling. Analyse what differs between wikis where the guidance worked and where it did not. Consider whether guidance accuracy, article type coverage, or localisation are contributing factors before wider rollout. |
| 5 | No statistically significant impact on survival rate AND abandonment rate stays neutral | Iterate and retest. The guidance is not yet effective enough overall, but funnel drop-off data may reveal a specific step responsible for most exits. Address that step and retest rather than rethinking the whole workflow. |
| 6 | No statistically significant impact on survival rate AND abandonment rate increases meaningfully | Stop or fundamentally rethink. This is the quit criteria scenario. The workflow is a barrier and not helping. Reassess the approach before any further investment. |
| 7 | Results are inconclusive due to insufficient sample size or experiment duration | Extend or rerun. Adjust experiment parameters and rerun before making a scaling decision. |
Related tasks
- T396029 - Article Guidance epic
- T414503 - Measurements
- T416686 - Entry point analysis
- T414448 - Community collaboration
- T417046 - Instrumentation
- T417200 - Deploy on test wiki
- T417249 - Collaborate with pilot wikis to define guidance
- T416986 - Wikidata labels check
- T418155 - Edit tag
- T418724 - Security review
- T414536 - Experiment design