- Figure out how to calculate uncertainty in backlog size
- Decide what algorithms to calculate range of forecasts?
- Should worst case for both backlog and velocity be zero (or one)?
- Velocity
- use average of worst five instead of worst three, to decrease chance of zeros.
- Use average of best three of worst five (i.e., throw out worst two weeks)
- Velocity
- Should worst case for both backlog and velocity be zero (or one)?
- Make a jamboree showing all of these different lines for the variety of chart patterns, and get feedback - CUT
- Algorithms and code design
- Decide what algorithms to calculate range of forecasts?
- Initial version
- Generate backlog growth forecasts
- Modify completion predictions to incorporate backlog growth forecasts
- Test against examples MOVED TO T133315: Forecast data needs more fine-tuning
- Document algorithms MOVED TO T133418: Document forecasting algorithms
- Debug: Why do they all seem to have the same slope?
Description
Description
| Status | Subtype | Assigned | Task | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved | • JAufrecht | T122606 EPIC Include backlog growth uncertainty in forecasts | |||
| Resolved | • JAufrecht | T130742 Generate backlog growth forecasts |