See the lost newline there before the transclusion. This is being flagged as a semantic RT diff in a lot of pages artificially inflating our RT-testing failures.
[subbu@earth lib] echo "a\n\n\n{{echo|b\n<div>c</div>}}" | node parse --wt2wt a {{echo|b <div>c</div>}}
Seems to be because of the paragraph wrapper pulling that newline into the transclusion. See the <br/> that has ended up in the template output. There doesn't seem to be a nice fix for this since what the p-wrapper is doing seems to be right.
[subbu@earth lib] echo "a\n\n\n{{echo|b\n<div>c</div>}}" | node parse --normalize=parsoid <p>a</p> <p typeof="mw:Transclusion" data-mw='{"parts":["\n",{"template":{"target":{"wt":"echo","href":"./Template:Echo"},"params":{"1":{"wt":"b\n<div>c</div>"}},"i":0}}]}'><br/> b</p> <div>c</div>